Cleveland at Boston

Cleveland won at Fenway Park yesterday, 5-2. They're 8-9 over the last 17 games with four of the losses by just one run. The bullpen helps keep them in games, sixth-best in the majors with a 3.11 ERA. Cleveland is 6-3 on the road this season and 22-15 as a road dog of +150 or less. Boston is favored but has Brayan Bello (9.82 ERA) on the mound with batters hitting over .400 off him. He has a 16.88 ERA at home after having a 4.71 ERA last year as batters hit .315 off him in 57 innings. He allowed a whopping 102 base runners in those 57 innings and Bello's teams are 1-10 when he starts against an AL opponent with an on-base percentage of .330 or worse. Boston is also 62-80 versus righty starters with the wagering value on the visitors to win the game or lose by one run. Play Cleveland on the Run-Line.