Cleveland at Baltimore

Cleveland has a nice winning streak going but has Carlos Carrasco (5.40 ERA) on the mound. He's been worse on the road with a 5.95 ERA. AL road teams like Cleveland allowing 3.9 or fewer runs per game are 118-189 after allowing eight or more runs. Baltimore has a +110 run differential, the best in the AL and third-best in the majors. The offense is No. 1 in runs scored and slugging, while the pitching is fourth in ERA (3.40) and fifth in the pen (3.40 ERA). Starter Grayson Rodriguez has a 2.21 ERA at Camden Yards this season. The Orioles are 94-50 as chalk of -110 or higher, 33-14 versus the AL Central, and 44-22 after two or more straight losses. Take Baltimore as a Max Play.