Cleveland at Baltimore

Cleveland took the opener of this series, 3-2, but Baltimore is 13-1 revenging a loss to an opponent as a home favorite. Batters are hitting .281 off Cleveland starter Logan Allen (5.23 ERA). Cleveland is 9-25 on the road against a starting pitcher who walks 1.75 or fewer batters per start. Baltimore has a +110 run differential, the best in the AL and third-best in the majors. The offense is No. 1 in runs scored and slugging, while the pitching is fourth in ERA (3.37) and fifth in the pen (3.40 ERA). The team is 10-3 in the last 13 starts made by Cole Irvin (3.45 ERA). The Orioles are 94-49 as chalk of -110 or higher, plus 23-10 after two or more straight losses. Play Baltimore.