Cincinnati at St. Louis

The Cincinnati Reds are battling Pittsburgh to stay out of the NL Central basement. They are currently a game and a half ahead of the Pirates. Cincinnati enters tonight's game off back-to-back shutout wins vs. the Braves and Cardinals. And while this may seem like a good spot to ride their hot pitching staff, history paints a different picture, as a sub-.500 team has a negative ROI when coming off two straight gems. The Cardinals have some incentive here as a win puts them over the .500 mark for the season. Make the play on St. Louis.