Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home and can clinch home-field advantage for the upcoming NL Wild-Card game with a victory. The Cincinnati Reds are on a 16-41 run with a bad offense, 25th in runs scored, 19th in on-base percentage, and 23rd in slugging. The Reds start Josh Smith (0-3, 7.22 ERA), who has walked 21 in 28+ innings while allowing 35 hits! Opponents hit .307 off him. Smith's first career outing was at Pittsburgh on June 23, and it did not go well, giving up four runs in three frames while walking six. The Reds are 3-13 against a left-handed starter and face southpaw J.A. Happ (10-8). Happ has been outstanding since joining Pittsburgh at the trade deadline with a 2.04 ERA. He just shut out the Cardinals in six innings on one hit and did not walk a batter, meaning he's walked just 10 batters in 57 1/3 innings with the Pirates. Pittsburgh is on a 10-4 run and is 43-19 at home and holds all the cards. Play Pittsburgh.