Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Expectations ran high for 2014 for both of these clubs. Here we are in mid-june and both teams are disappointingly below the .500 mark. The Reds will send their ace to te mound in Johnny Cueto, but as good as he has been, his two worst starts have come in his last five. While his season ERA is 1.85, it is 3.30 over his last five starts. Brandon Cumpton enters with a 6.06 ERA on the season, which is a bit misleading as he gave up 11 runs in one of them. His last two starts were both wins, and in four appearances vs. Cincinnati he has held them in check, pitching to a 1.35 ERA. The Reds are just 2-7 in their last nine as a favorite from -110 to -150 and are just 1-4 in Cuetos last five starts in a series opener. Make the play on Pittsburgh.