Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Cincinnati is on a 3-5 run winning twice as a dog while losing just 4-3 yesterday. Of their last nine defeats, four were by one run. The Reds have their best arm going in Graham Ashcraft (1.42 ERA), with the team 2-1 in his last three starts while the only loss was 5-4 at Atlanta in 10 innings. Ashcraft has a 1.29 ERA against the Pirates this season after beating them 3-1. Pittsburgh is 4-19 after having won four of their last five. Starter Mitch Keller has struggled badly against the Reds with a 7.07 ERA last year in 14 innings against them, then giving up 5 hits and 4 runs in 4+ innings against them in the opener. The wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one run. Play Cincinnati on the Run-Line.