Cincinnati at Philadelphia

Cincinnati is 22-37 on the road hampered by a pitching staff that is #28 in ERA (5.02) allowing the second-most free passes in all of baseball. The Reds are on a 4-10 slide, 24-53 against winning teams, plus 6-13 on the road versus a lefty starter. Cincinnati has recalled starter T.J. Zeuch from Triple-A Louisville and he's struggled in his two starts, losing both with a 13.50 ERA. Philadelphia has a Top 10 pitching staff (3.76 ERA), while the offense is Top 10 in runs scored and slugging. Starter Cristopher Sanchez has thrown well and sports a 2.30 ERA at home this season. The Phillies are 22-5 against a team with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse and they're on a 36-15 run versus the Reds. Play Philadelphia.