Cincinnati at Philadelphia

The rubber match in this series features Eric Milton vs. Brett Myers as Philly goes for their fifth win in six meetings between these two teams this year. Milton has a 4.70 road ERA to Myers' 3.29 home ERA. I like Myers in this situation. He is well rested having pitched last on August 7th. He's 15-2 when coming off 5 or 6 days of rest and 16-4 vs. high-scoring teams like 'Nati (4.8+ runs per game) the past two seasons. He's also 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA vs. the Reds while Milton owns a 7.15 ERA vs. Philadelphia. Milton is a southpaw which bodes well for us here too as the Phillies score 5.5 runs per game vs. lefties and the Reds are allowing 6.9 runs per game over their past seven.