Cincinnati at New York

The New York Yankees have gotten some good innings out of David Phelps recently, but he has never been able to perform at a high level over an extended period. New York is just a .500 team at home this season - a far cry from what we have seen from this club over the past decade and longer. Mike Leake has been pretty good for the Reds as he owns a 7-7 record with an ERA of 3.54 on the season. The Yankees have not gotten the pitching from Phelps to win anticipated low-scoring games, as they are a woeful 1-10 in his last 11 starts to a total of 7 to 8.5. He has also not been a stopper as the Yanks are 0-6 in his last six starts when following a loss in their previous game. The Reds have been 6-1 in their last seven as a dog and are in a good valued spot here. Take the Reds.