Cincinnati at New York

The Mets may be hot, but not at home where they have a losing (and money-burning) record. They lost two out of three at home to the Phillies and Marlins as chalk, including -155, -160, and -250. That's what happens when you are the defending NL Champs, but this is a brand new year. New York isn't doing much offensively at #17 in runs scored and #14 in batting average. Cincinnati is better than it has looked the last four games, matching up against the red-hot Cubs. They did manage a 13-5 blowout of Chicago in one game as a +155 dog. Cincinnati SS Zack Cozart has hit safely in 12 of his 13 contests this season. The Reds have a fine righty going in Raisel Iglesias (1-1, 3.09 ERA), fanning 22 in 23+ innings with only five walks allowed. The Reds are a stellar 19-9 on the road against a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Take the Reds.