Cincinnati at Milwaukee

Milwaukee is favored at home but has a losing record here. Milwaukee is just #23 in baseball in runs scored, #22 in OBP and #19 in slugging. And here they are favored, losers of seven in a row and 9 of 10. The Brewers come off a 5-3 loss to Cincinnati last night despite being -120 chalk. The Reds are 4-1 against the National League Central, while the Brewers are 1-5 against a right-handed starter. Milwaukee goes with starter Taylor Jungmann, who has been erratic. He has been hit-or-miss over the last month, combining three outings in which he gave up a total of one run in 18 1/3 frames with three other starts in which he surrendered 15 runs over 13 2/3 innings. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last four home games, so grab the live dog and play on the Reds.