Bronson Arroyo has marginal stuff and appears to be tiring out, at 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA his last three starts. The Reds are 1-5 in Arroyo's last six starts with five days of rest, and the team is 1-4 in their last five games as a road favorite. Milwaukee plays its best baseball at home, and has Yovani Gallardo (11-9) going, who has been on a red-hot roll with the team winning five of his last six starts. His last three starts, he's 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA! The Brewers are 35-17 in Gallardo's last 52 home starts and 4-1 in Gallardo's last five starts against the Reds. Play the Brewers.
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