Cincinnati at Milwaukee

Milwaukee still has beaten the Reds seven of the last nine games even following Tuesday's 3-0 loss and look for another low-scoring affair today. The teams have gone UNDER the last eight meetings and the Brewers have stayed UNDER their last three games. Zach Davies has been one of the premier pitchers in the majors this season with a 5-0 record and a sparkling 1.54 ERA and he hasn't gotten much run support. Davies comes off a win at Philadelphia when he allowed one earned run on four hits in six innings. The right-hander has given up only two earned runs in 23 2/3 innings at home this year. Luis Castillo has a 1.90 ERA, but Cincinnati is only 18-40 its last 58 road games and 16-35 versus NL Central teams. Milwaukee has won eight of 11 against right-handed starters and they are 7-3 in Davies' last 10 starts. Play the Brewers and the UNDER.