Milwaukee has lost 7 of their last 10 games. But, those were all on the road. At home, this team is a perfect 4-0. Despite losing the series, they played well against Houston. Their two losses cam by just one run, one against Oswalt. And, they beat Pettitte 7-2 last game. Here Okha goes back to the mound and he's got a 3.00 ERA (1.29 at home) and is matched up against Dave Williams who has yielded 8 ER in just 9 innings pitched thus far. Cincinnati has survived thus far by scoring a ton of runs. They need to as they are allowing 6.3 per game themselves. But, given that they score just 4.8 per game on the road (vs. nearly 7 at home) and Okha's good pitching, like the home team in this one today.