Cincinnati at Miami

The Reds have been undervalued on a 9-6 run. They won five of those as an underdog along with three one-run losses. Cincinnati's bullpen is 14th in ERA and starter Graham Ashcraft has been decent, including a 2.65 ERA on the road. Meanwhile, Miami is on a 3-6 slide and ranked 29th in run scored, 28th in on-base percentage, and 24th in slugging, while the bullpen is 26th in ERA (4.47). 20-year-old starter Eury Perez makes his major league debut, the youngest player in Marlins history. Miami is on a 44-56 run at home, 31-48 at home against righty starters, and 12-22 at home after having won two of three. With the Marlins on a 6-15 run against Cincinnati, the wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one run. Play Cincinnati on the run line.