Cincinnati at Miami

Edinson Volquez has been a lights-out pitcher this season, but we saw it from Cliff Lee and briefly from the Reds' Johny Cueto as well. When does it end? But more importantly the value table flips to the otherside and we feel this is the time for that flip. As good as Volquez has been at home (pitching the Reds to a 6-0 mark) he has been somewhat less on the road at 4-3. The Reds are in the "poverty" zone on the road as they enter at 11-24. The Marlins are a 20-13 team at home and more importantly 6-1 behind Hendrickson, including six in a row. Not very often will you find a team 10 games better in the standings at home against the team's away record, that is a chunky home dog so we will grab the value here and ride the Marlins.