Cincinnati at Miami

While the Reds are a constant threat at home against any team, they have been anemic on the road as they enter here with just an 11-22 mark. Bronson Arroyo has not been doing much this season or at least far less than expected. He brings a 5.61 ERA into this one, along with a bullpen that has allowed an additional 1.7 runs a game in his starts. The Marlins have won 8 of 12 behind Olsen, as well as five of seven at home where they have been tough to beat. The Marlins are the better team and Olson has the better numbers in this matchup especially at home, so we will back Florida in this one.