Cincinnati at Miami

The Miami Marlins have lost four-straight games, but three of those were to the NY Mets and this is still a team that plays well at home. They dropped the series opener to Cincinnati 3-1, and I expect a bounceback tonight. Cincinnati will turn to Graham Ascroft and he has had little success vs. the Marlins. Ashcroft is yet to beat Maimi in four career starts, and his team stands at 1-3. Coach Mattingly's team has a winning record after scoring three runs or fewer in their last three games. I like Miami in this one.