Cincinnati at Houston

The Cincinnati Reds snuck up on a lot of teams last year, but are finding the going a bit tougher this season as they hover around the .500 mark through 34 games. The Astros liked what they saw out of Aneury Rodriguez enough to give him a shot in the rotation. Against these same Reds, he worked five innings of shutout baseball in his first start. The Reds have not gotten the consistency out of Woods they would like, and he has followed a quality start by dealing the Reds a 1-7 mark in his last eight starts following a quality one in his previous outing. The Stros are a playoffs caliber 19-7 at home in their last 26 vs. a lefthander. The Reds are now 8-3 to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a right hander, while Houston comes in at 23-9 to the UNDER facing an opponent that plated 2 runs or less in their previous outing. As they spend longer on the road, this team tends toward the UNDER. The Astros are 58-36 UNDER the past three seasons after four straight road games and 44-25 UNDER after five in a row on the road. I'll go with Houston and the UNDER here.