Cincinnati at Houston

Cincinnati has owned the Rockets thus far this season but I like the home team here with Andy Pettitte on the mound. Pettitte has a winning record at home and has pitched well over his last three starts. Bronson Arroyo has great overall numbers but mediocre on the road (3.61 ERA and 5-5 record). Cincinnati's offense has slowed (4.1 runs per game over their last seven). Houston is a solid home team that is making it hard for opposing teams to score right now. With Pettite on the mound, I expect Cincinnati's offense to struggle and Houston to get the win.