Cincinnati at Detroit

Comerica Park is big, great for pitching. That may help young Cincinnati starter Jon Moscot (4.91 ERA), though he's walked five in 11 innings along with 10 hits. He won't get much help from the Reds offense that ranks 17th in runs and on base percentage. The Reds are a terrible road team and 25-52 as an underdog, plus 15-36 in interleague road games. Cincy is also 50-24-4 UNDER the total as an underdog of +151 to +200. Detroit is home and on a nice run, winning five of seven, as well as 67-24 in interleague home games. Tigers righty Anibal Sanchez finally turned things around his last game with a 6-0 win over the Cubs. Detroit's defense has been sharp of late, too, 6-1-1 UNDER the total as chalk. The Reds are 10-42 as a road underdog and Detroit is 4-1 against Cincinnati, so take the home team in a defensive battle. Play Detroit and the game UNDER the total.