Cincinnati at Colorado

It is hard to ignore just how much Jose Contreras has slipped, and he is now trying to make a living in a ball park noted for offense. That doesn't justify better than 2-1 odds on Colorado here. When you take what Kip Wells has done, back in his more comfortable role as a starter, he has given the Reds a big lift. He has made three starts and pitched to a 2.65 ERA, better, by far, what Contreras has been the last three years with an ERA of over five. This season alone the opponents have produced nine runs or more in one-third of his starts - not condusive to a moneyline with such inflated odds. I will go with Cincinnati in this one.