The Reds are 13-30 in their last 43 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. You can't trust starter Mike Leake (2-5) on the road where he is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA, or anywhere else for that matter! He has a 5.05 ERA for the season and in his last two starts has allowed 14 hits and 7 runs in 11 innings. The Indians have already hit him hard this season, allowing nine base runners in four innings against them (6.23 ERA). Cleveland scored 10 runs in yesterday's win over the Reds and the Indians are 14-6 in their last 20 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin has been great at home the last three years with a 13-4 record and a 3.58 ERA. The Indians are 15-7 in Tomlin's last 22 home starts, as well as 8-1 in his last nine home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Reds are now 0-5 in the last five meetings in Cleveland. Play the Indians.
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