Cincinnati at Cleveland

Cleveland isn't getting much respect with this betting number. They have a winning record, are thick in the middle of a pennant race and have home field. The Indians are 13-6 in their last 19 home games against a right-handed starter and have veteran Derek Lowe on the hill (7-5, 3.78 ERA), a big game pitcher with a World Series ring. He has been a terrific addition and has got back to not walking batters (26 in 78+ innings). He's also been a stopper: the Indians are 6-2 in Lowe's last eight starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Reds are 13-29 in their last 42 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 in the last four meetings in Cleveland. Play the Indians.