Cincinnati at Cleveland

Cincinnati is on a 12-8 run winning 10 times as an underdog. Batters are hitting just .201 off Jakob Junis, who has walked only seven batters in 62 innings. He's allowed one run or less in his last four starts (19+ innings). Cleveland comes home from a three-game trek, losing the last two at St. Louis. They're on a 9-7 run losing four times as a favorite. Tanner Bibee has a 4.39 ERA at home this season. The team is 3-4 in his last seven starts, including a 5-3 loss to Texas as a -140 favorite, and a 3-1 loss to Tampa Bay as -175 chalk. He also has a 6.75 ERA against the Reds after losing 4-2 to them earlier this season as a favorite. Play Cincinnati.