Cincinnati at Chicago

Cincinnati comes off a 4-1 home loss to Detroit and heads out on a nine-game road trek. The Reds are favored but have lost six of eight as chalk, and they are 16-23 against teams that average 1.25-plus homers per game. The Chicago Cubs are playing well, winning six in a row, including twice as a dog. They're on a 9-3 run overall and have a good arm going in lefty Justin Steele (3.48 ERA). The Cubs have a winning record at home and are 34-24 at Wrigley Field versus NL teams with a team batting average of .255 or worse, so back the hot home dog. Play Chicago.