Cincinnati at Chicago

Both teams have lost two in a row, but Chicago has Javier Assad starting today with a 4-1 record and a 2.17 ERA and the Cubs have won four of his past five starts. Assad has allowed only four earned runs in 27 innings at home this season and he is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and a 1.92 opponent batting average in day games. Cincinnati is 10-15 on the road and in last place in the NL Central. Graham Ashcraft has a 4.67 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP and the Reds have lost five of his past six starts. He gave up five runs on eight hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers last Friday although the Reds won 9-6. Chicago has won five of Assad's past six home starts and Cincinnati is 0-6 when Ashcraft starts as a road underdog. The Reds have gone UNDER five in a row and Chicago is 4-0 UNDER in Assad's past four home starts.Take the Cubs and the UNDER.