Cincinnati at Chicago

The Cubs go for the sweep behind the arm of Ted Lilly, who has not lost since June 4th. We like their chances at a big win. Opposing Lilly is Bronson Arroyo who has struggled all season, posting a 6-7 mark with a 5.82 ERA. Lilly will have success against a Reds club that is averaging just 4.1 runs per game on the road, 3.9 per game vs. division opponents and 3.7 per game over their last seven games overall. Conversely, the Cubs average 6.4 per game at home and 5.9 vs. division foes. The REds are 17-31 vs. the run line this season after a loss and 16-23 after two sraight road games. The Cubs are 30-24 this season to the run line after a win and 8-2 at home after allowing one run or less. Cubbies -1.5 here.