Cincinnati at Chicago

It has become quite apparent that this is a Cubs team on the slide. The Cubs finished atop the NL Central as recently as 2008, with a home-dominating mark of 57-24, compiling 97 wins. Last year they barely finished over .500 with an 83-78 mark, and the home factor was diminished by 11 games. This season the Cubs are 11 under .500 and will be scraping to get to 70 wins, and the dominance at home is gone as they are below .500 at Wrigley. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has done a reversal with young talent coming of age to lead the NL Central, and have a winning mark on the road. The road tally shows they would be 8-1 in their last nine road games at +1.5, so I like them here on the runline.