Cincinnati at Atlanta

What can you say about Aaron Harang? He pitches on a bad team, yet when he toes the rubber, the Reds are 15-5! They are 24-50 in all other games. The Reds have won 10 of his last 12 road starts and now they are even hot as a team, winning the first two games here and going 7-3 in their last 10. John Smoltz is always capable of pitching a good game, but the Braves are just 2-4 in his last six starts. If it comes down to the pen - Cincinnati is hot. The pen has allowed just four runs in their last 18 innings of work while the Braves’ pen has yielded 10 runs in their last 15 innings. Lots of value here.