Cincinnati at Atlanta

These clubs are built in a lot of the same ways. They each host bullpens that are amongst the best in baseball, and that has kept them close enough to be in games late. They have each won 14 times in their final at bat on the season. There are two noteworthy differences, however. The Reds have really struggled and the All-Star break will not come fast enough for them as they are 7-12 in their last 19 games. The Braves are 10-6 in their last 16, and they have been a very difficult team to take down at home where they have posted a 30-13 record on the season. Contrast that with the road woes of Cincinnati, where they are 21-25, and we have a few areas of separation to put the value squarely in the hands of the home team here tonight. Back Atlanta in this one.