Chicago at Toronto

Tough to go against Roy Hallady. He's 13-2 overall and 7-1 atg home with a 3.22 ERA. But, here's a spot. We get the White Sox with Jon Garland who is 11-3 overall and 8-2 on the road. Over his last three starts he's very hot having gone 3-0 with a 3.10 ERA. He's also 20-9 over the past two seasons vs. winning teams and 12-2 as a road underdog over that same span. If anyone can hit Halladay it's Chicago. They score 5.7 per game on the road and 6.0 per game against right handers. And, they have averaged nearly 7 runs per game over their last seven games. Toronto's bats are ice cold right now averaging .228 and 2.7 runs per game over their last seven games. Can't see them having much success against Garland. Home teams after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are just 30-57 (34%) over the past decade. Road underdogs of +125 to +175 starting a pitcher with a WHIP between 1.300 to 1.400 are 34-17 (67%) during August over the last 5 seasons. Takes a lot to fade Halladay at home but you won't see Garland as a dog this big again for a long time. Take it.