Chicago at Kansas City

There are a lot of folks out there with a man-crush on Zack Greinke. How else would you explain a team that is 33-45 being instilled as a nice-sized favorite against a winning team? Yes, Greinke has been very good, but let's not forget that the Royals are just 8-8 on the runline with him on the mound - including 0-6 in his last six starts! He keeps opponents down, but the problems for the Royals are two-fold. First off, the bullpen that comes in late is sporting a 5.23 ERA at home. Second, he just doesn't get much run support as KC is averaging only 3.9 runs per game. Over their past seven games, the Royals are getting only 2.1 runs per game. Compare that the 6.1 per game that the Sox have produced. Asking the Royals to win this game by 2+ runs is simply asking too much. This season the White Sox are 25-7 against the +1.5 run line (at odds between -135 and -190) and I really like them here in that same situation.