Chicago at Cincinnati

The White Sox are a losing road team that has put up the following offenseive numbers this season: 4.2 runs per game overall, 4.2 vs. RHP and 4.0 in day games. The Reds' offense hasn't been much better but I like them in this one at home with Aaron Harang on the mound. Harang has been great at home this year (4-2 wiht a 2.70 ERA) and over his last three starts he's put up a 1.53 ERA. In contrast Mark Buehrle has posted a 5.76 ERA in his last three starts. The Reds gone 18-4 vs. the run line following a game in which 15+ runs were scored (that includes an 13-2 mark when 17+ runs were scored). After allowing 8+ runs this season, the Reds are 9-1 in their next game and they are 20-12 overall this season following a loss. At home they are 12-4 this season vs. teh run line following a  loss. When facing a team that scores under 4.8 runs per game, Harang is 13-4 vs. the run line in his last 17 starts. I like the Reds on the run line here.