Chicago at Washington

The Cubs beat down the Nats 7-0 on Saturday. It was their seventh win in the last nine and fifteenth out of the last twenty. In the rubber game in this match, we like the Cubs to win again. We backed Ted Lilly in his last outing as he got the win. We'll take him again here as another relative bargain. How do you explain a 16-8 team with a winning road record, a team averaging 6.0 runs per game (and 7.3 against LHP) laying only -123 to a team that is 8-17 and 4-7 at home, averaging 3.7 runs per game? Lilly's early struggles and 7.30 ERA. But, that's not the Ted Lilly we will continue to see. He showed that last game, leading them to an 8-1 triumph. Washington has no power as they have gotten just 14 home runs in 25 games. Chicago is 11-2 this season already over teams averaging under one HR per game. Washington is 8-24 the past three seasons at home during April. They have yet to win a three-game series this season and we don't think this will be their first. Cubbies here.