Chicago at Tampa Bay

It's the sixth consecutive road contest for Chicago on a 5-13 slide. The Cubs are 13-27 when the moneyline is +125 to -125. Javier Assad throws great at Wrigley Field (1.67 ERA) but his ERA is over two runs higher per game on the road. He's also struggling, with the Cubs losing his last three starts allowing 11 runs, 8 walks, and 17 hits in 16 innings. The bullpen is 24th in ERA (4.47) and WHIP. Chicago is 22-11 OVER the total on the road in interleague action. Tampa Bay plays its sixth straight home game after beating the Cubs in the opener of this series, 5-2. The Rays are 92-48 against NL teams with a batting average of .245 or less, plus 22-7 versus NL squads with an on-base percentage of .315 or worse. They're also 55-36 OVER the total against losing teams. Play Tampa Bay + OVER the total.