Chicago at St. Louis

The Cubs and the Cards have both been surprises. The Cubs have surprised by how poorly they have played. The Cards, by how well they have played. The Cubs have feasted at home as usual, where they are 14 games over .500, but the road ledger has kept them out of the playoffs as they are nine games under. The Cards have closed the gap down to three games behind the Dodgers for the best record in the NL, so these games still take on meaning for them. They have taken care of business as a favorite at 39-14 in their last 53, while the Cubs faltering against the winning teams at just 1-8 in their last nine, and just 1-5 in Lilly's last six road starts. The Cards are fresh off a day off, and have gone 8-1 after a day of rest and are an amazing 21-5 in their last 26 series openers. I'll go with the Cards here.