Chicago at St. Louis

While the Cubs have won games at home at a rate of better than two-to-one, they have been a breakeven proposition on the road putting one in the win column. When you factor in playing on the road against a team that has a winning record, they become a sub -.500 team. Rich Harden is on the hill and could be suspect, as he missed his last start with discomfort in his shoulder. He will have to be watched closely today and may not go deep in this game. Todd Wellemeyer has been the Cards most reliable starter as he is 12-6 with a 3.74 ERA. He has been very sharp lately, as he has allowed more than three runs just one time over his last nine games. Looks like a live dog to me, so I'll back the Cards as a home pup.