This pick was released to clients on July 29, 2023 at 11:39AM ET.
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Chicago at St. Louis

July 29, 2023
img7:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Despite playing the last four on the road, Chicago is on a 9-1 run, including seven wins in a row. The Cubs have won three in a row started by Jameson Taillon, who has allowed 4 runs in 19+ innings. Chicago is 30-25 as a road dog of +150 or less, plus 27-15 against a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Meanwhile, St. Louis is on a 2-6 run losing five times as a favorite. The Cardinals have a losing home record and are 14-22 as home chalk. The pitching is 23rd in ERA (4.61), 27th in WHIP, and 24th in the bullpen (4.63 ERA). 41-year-old Adam Wainwright (7.31 ERA) has an 8.65 ERA at home where batters are hitting .385 off him! The Cardinals are 14-25 against NL teams averaging 4.5+ runs, as well as 5-10 at home after two or more straight defeats. Play Chicago as a Max Play

2 units on Chicago -102 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.96)
Result:
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St. Louis Cardinals
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