Can't trust these Cubs on the road, playing their fourth straight road contest, part of a brutal 10-game trip. Last place Chicago is terrible on offense, 25th in runs scored, 27th in batting average and on base percentage, with no power. The Cubs are 16-41 following a win and 9-23 as a road underdog. Chicago is 1-3 in the last four starts made by Jason Hammel. The Padres are 6-2 in their last eight Sunday get-away day games, as well as 4-1 in starter Ian Kennedy's last five Sunday starts. Kennedy has pitched better than that 2-6 record, with fewer hits allowed than innings pitched and a strong 66-14 strikeout to walk ratio in 61+ innings. And the Cubs are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in San Diego. In addition, Petco Park is huge, great for pitchers, so it's tough to see many runs being scored. The UNDER is 21-6-2 when the Padres are a home favorite, and the Cubs are 8-1 UNDER on the road with the total set at 6.5 or lower. San Diego is on a 50-24-4 run UNDER the total overall, plus 29-12-2 UNDER at home. And when these teams meet, the UNDER is 4-1, including 4-1 UNDER here in San Diego. Play the San Diego Padres and the Cubs/Padres UNDER the Total.
This pick was released to clients on May 25, 2014 at 9:50AM ET.
MLB
Chicago at San Diego
May 25, 2014
4:10 PM Eastern
1 unit on San Diego -138 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.7)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get my free MLB picks and predictions.
Join 409,399 Subscribers!