Chicago at Pittsburgh

It has been a long time since the Pirates have put together a winning season, so it is easy for the oddsmakers and public to dismiss this team. This year’s Pirates are a much better team than what we have seen in the past two decades, and that holds true especially at home where they are an above average 21-14. The Pirates aren't winning close games at home, they have won their 21 at home by a combined score of 134-58, and if you take their home wins, 19 of 21 have been by two runs or more. The Cubs have really been a far below average team on the road at 14-24. Rich Harden has allowed 13 HRs in just 60 innings this season, and his walks total is very high as well at 30. The Pirates are now 5-0 in Duke's last five starts at home, and those five games have produced a combined score of 40-15 in favor of the Pirates. I will go with Pittsburgh on the runline here.