Chicago at Pittsburgh

The Chicago Cubs and the Pittsburgh Pirates are rebuilding and the playoffs appear out of reach for both teams. Pittsburgh has completely dominated the first two games in this series winning both by a combined score of 17-2. The Cubs turn to Keegan Thompson to stop the bleeding he has started twice in his career vs the Pirates, and his team has gone 2-0. A team in series game 3, after scoring a total of two runs in the first two games is better than .500. The clincher is these teams have gone 93-63 if they lost the first two games of the series while scoring two total runs, and are now a surprising road favorite. The ROI rises to 9.6% if they also have a worse record than their opponents. Make the play on the Chicago Cubs.