Chicago at Philadelphia

While the Cubs have been winning lately (six of eight) and we've backed them selectively, I think they are an excellent fade tonight. Most of their recent wins have come at home and they are away tonight. On the road this season they are 29-46 where they average 4.3 runs per game. Phildelphia gets 5.4 per game at home and they get to face Chicago's Wade Miller. Miller has started two games and lasted just 8 total innings. His ERA is 6.75. Jamie Moyer will go for Philly and he's got a 3.38 ERA in his last three starts. Over the past two seasons, Moyer is 18-5 as a home favorite. Phillies here.