Chicago at New York

It's been a nightmare season for the Mets who are now 61-75 on the year. Despite their troubles, at home this team has a winning record and they face a Cubs team today that is just 28-39 on the road this year. The Cubbies have struggled to score on the road all season (3.8 runs per game) and over their last seven games overall they are managing just 2.4 per game. Randy Wells has been very good and is certainly the better starter here, but Mike Pelfrey has been quite good at home. Despite a 4-7 record on the road, Pelfrey is 5-3 at home with a 3.80 ERA. I like the Mets as a live home dog today.