Chicago at New York

The Mets will send Johan Santana to the mound vs. the hapless Cubs tonight. Santana is pitching as well as ever with a 2.76 ERA on the season and over his career, has beat up on bad teams when pitching as a home favorite. Santana has led his teams to a 79-38 mark in his last 117 starts as a home favorite and when he faces a team that is off a loss, and under .500 he has led his team to a 22-4 mark. The Cubs are just 14-38 in their last 52 on the road, including 5-2 when they take to the road vs. a lefthander. Overall, Chicago has not fared well against a quality starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less, where they are a woeful 33-68 in their last 101 when facing one. The Mets are 27-9 at home behind Santana in expected low-scoring games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. Play this one on the Mets.