Chicago at New York

Chicago heads out on the road after a seven-game homestand. The Cubs have lost five of the last seven road starts made by Drew Smyly (4.71 ERA) and the bullpen is 14th in ERA. Smyly has allowed 38 hits and 30 runs in his last seven starts (30 innings). Chicago is 13-19 versus teams averaging 2.75 or fewer extra-base hits per game. New York is glad to be home after a winless road trip. Starter Kodai Senga has a 2.40 ERA at home this season holding batters to a .171 average. and the Mets are 71-43 when they're favorites of -150 or less. And MLB home teams like New York that are hitting .175 or less over the last three games are 28-10 against a pitcher with an ERA of 7.00+ over his last five starts. Play the New York Mets.