Chicago at New York

This line put out by the oddsmakers is a puzzling one. The Cubs are a team that peaked in 2008, declined by 14 games a year ago, and will likely decline again from last season. They certainly haven't started off indicating otherwise at 5-8. They had a losing mark on the road a year ago, and have scored 4 or fewer runs in eight of their 12 games. The Mets gave up just 22 runs in their six home games, and figure to be an improved team this year after all the injuries from a year ago. The Mets stand in with a 27-10 mark in their last 37 at home vs. a road team below .400. I'll back the Mets in this one.