This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 12:49AM ET.
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Chicago at Minnesota

June 25, 2006
img2:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

While they can't win on the road, they can certainly win at home against the Chicago Cubs. The Twinkies have a huge home-road discprepancy. Wile they are 15-25 on the road, they are an amazing 23-10 at home! Chicago is 13-27 this season vs. winning teams and Minnesota is playing like a winner right now. Overall they have won 11 of 12 games. Meanwhile, Chicago has lost 25 of 41 on the road. Chicago starts Sean Marshall (4-5 with a 6.53 road ERA) while Minnesota goes with Brad Radke (5-7 with 5.02 home ERA). Radke's done well of late posting a 3.57 ERA over his last three starts. A lot of Minnesota's recent success is due to their bullpen which has been able to maintain leads. Home teams starting a pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games are 36-14 (72%) over the last 5 seasons. The Twins bullpen is 7-1 at home this season with a 2.71 ERA. Twins in this one.

2 units on Minnesota -155 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.29)
Result:
WIN
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