Chicago at Milwaukee

The Cubs were a tough team to beat at home last year, but on the road their vulnerability was much greater as they finished just four games over .500. The Brewers were equally dominant at home where they won more games than any team, but the Cubs, in the National League. This line is off by quite a bit as the Brewers were posted as a home dog last season just five times, winning three of them, and never all season long were they a dog of this magnitude at home. Rich Harden has good stuff and is a quality pitcher, but his teams won just six games on the road last year when he took the hill. And like the Cubs, the road vulnerability shows some value here. I'll go with Milwaukee.